The ABC has picked someone not qualified to speak on the matter! Dr. Jayasuriya is an Economist.
http://ideas.repec.org/e/pja176.html He has no clue about this conflict, other than being from Sri Lanka.
One simple issue the good economist did not say much about: how did the SLA beat the LTTE? Why the LTTE keeping running? What makes him think that best LTTE cadre are still unused. The video reminded me of initial arguments where with poor old Taraki. Taraki, reading Athas's bible, as was so convinced about the poor quality of the SLA. He was wrong, just as Dr. Jayasuriya is wrong. Neither have a clue about military tactics or war, and should stick to what they know about: ancient history and economics respectively.
The key to understand is this: the LTTE lost ground
to the Special Forces. It was small units that destroyed the LTTE allowing the regular units to move and hold lines. The LTTE ran way when the Special Forces come, and now they have no place to go to.
The LTTE can only go on in an urban setting, hiding among civilians, and that takes little knowledge to understand. In the jungle the SLA LRRP/Special Forces rule and the LTTE will be on the run and be hunted down one by one, and that is why is prefers its human shield. The GOSL will rely on infiltration, intelligence and international cooperation to whittle down the urban LTTE over the next decade or two.
Too many have no idea just how good these SLA soldiers are. If you did, none of you would be worrying too much about the LTTE as an effective guerrilla outfit. The only way the LTTE can come back with any effectiveness in the rural areas is if the SLA disbands the Special Forces or compromises its leadership--which is possible given just how much the GOSL is unlike the Israeli government.
The good economist mentions Israel, but forgot to mention that Sri Lanka's opposition constantly spoke of civilians deaths, economic weakness, etc. What Israeli opposition party did that (barring the far left)?
P.O.
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Do not start a war, unless it is already won...