Reuters,  Tue Jan 10 20:13:29 EST 2006

    COLOMBO (Reuters) - If Sri Lanka's two-decade-old civil war flares again, as many fear it will, Tamil Tiger rebels are likely to launch an assault on northern Jaffna as well as hit-and-run guerrilla attacks on supply lines, analysts say.

The Jaffna peninsula is seen by the rebels as the centre of a future Tamil homeland, but they have held it only intermittently in the past and it is now under government control, albeit surrounded by Tiger territory.

"Jaffna is their main focus," said Janes Defence Weekly analyst Iqbal Athas, referring to the Tamil Tigers.

"Certainly attacks will intensify. If you are looking at conventional warfare, they cannot take it (Jaffna) but we are also talking about guerrilla warfare."

A truce between the rebels and the government has halted major attacks for almost four years, but the peace has been severely strained in recent weeks.
Full Story


_________________
- The Academic

Definitely, they will use civilians as cover.

Their hand gliders have to be destroyed well before any war.Probably they do not need air strips to be airborn.

They also might have SAMs to get airforce.

So, GOSL is crying that LTTE is using the people as cover. They can go back home to safe people???
LTTE will not use that kind of tactics. If they are using that tactics they would have eliminated by people long before. LTTE didn't fight with SLA in 1996 when they capture Jaffna and asked the people to goback to safe place.
One thing everyone should rember is that, US is captured Iraq for no reason, but still no contry can stand against US even though they know the truth. That is the kind of move US takes and they have the power to do that. In SL, LTTE is like that they have the power and doing advanced political moves. whereas GOSL has no power traped in the international net with unthinkable debt. No wonder LTTE has all areas open.

To THE_ACR_USR.

With regard to your last posting "One thing everyone should rember is that, US is captured Iraq for no reason, but still no contry can stand against US even though they know the truth. That is the kind of move US takes and they have the power to do that. In SL, LTTE is like that they have the power and doing advanced political moves. whereas GOSL has no power traped in the international net with unthinkable debt. No wonder LTTE has all areas open."

Is this some sort of secret code? For the less educated contributors to the forum, such as myself, could you possibly translate it into English.

THE_ACA_USR wrote:

So, GOSL is crying that LTTE is using the people as cover. They can go back home to safe people???
LTTE will not use that kind of tactics. If they are using that tactics they would have eliminated by people long before. LTTE didn't fight with SLA in 1996 when they capture Jaffna and asked the people to goback to safe place.

The following may remind you what really took place in 1996.

“This problem continued until the Tigers were evicted from Jaffna in 1996. The logic of the LTTE was very clear. They wanted the Jaffna Lagoon kept open for their military transport. To this end they used the civilians as a shield, giving them no alternative travel arrangements. The civilians learnt to accept it and in the course of it reinforced a mindset peculiar to the Tamils. They developed a horror of confronting the LTTE, but at the same time passively accepted all the risks the LTTE imposed on them to prosecute its ‘freedom struggle’. “

http://www.uthr.org/bulletins/bul19.htm

“In 1996 people were praising the Army for ensuring the safety of civilians before responding to the LTTE’s calculated provocations, such as throwing bombs or shooting at the Army in crowded places. As a general rule the civilians too were confident that there would be no reprisals.”

http://www.uthr.org/bulletins/bul18.htm



Last edited by systemx on Wed Jan 11, 2006 5:30 am; edited 1 time in total

Wait there more.

Thurshika Nagenthiram, 13 year old student at Vembady Girls’ College was knocked down by an army driver and succumbed to her injuries in hospital. The driver was duly detained by the Police. Rather than give this death of the young girl the dignity it deserved, the LTTE launched an orgy of provocation. The SLFP party office near the school was burnt. The LTTE MP Gajendran was seen jumping over the school wall and being at the centre of the disturbance. Attempts were made to burn three army vehicles, army sentry points were attacked and petrol bombs were thrown at the Army – again sure signs of the LTTE’s work behind a civilian shield.

http://www.uthr.org/SpecialReports/spreport18.htm

ACR_USR

I was totally serious. Your use of English is so unconventional I cannot connect one phrase with the other................I am sure I am not alone in this observation.

The UTHR's reports ate no longer valid, they have started in 1986 and was producing valuable reports and later they turned to factless reports. No one who is writing this report is living in those ares. Few of them living in colombo and they write stories what they think.
They have the freedom to write and I am not ignoring everything they write. There are many true storeis too. Make a not that they write plenty agaist GOSL too.

THE_ACA_USR wrote:

The UTHR's reports ate no longer valid, they have started in 1986 and was producing valuable reports and later they turned to factless reports. No one who is writing this report is living in those ares. Few of them living in colombo and they write stories what they think.
They have the freedom to write and I am not ignoring everything they write. There are many true storeis too. Make a not that they write plenty agaist GOSL too.

I think you have lost your credibility. If I were you I would run along without embarrassing yourself  any further.  

If someone realy need to find the real fact, you should be able to be there on the field. Just making assumptions are danger in puplic life. Like JVP and JHU thinks about tamils and LTTE will lead to destruction than nothing.
I am not a person to find the exact thing happened. But we have the ability to make decisions depend on the things happened as a result(in tha past). That is waht I was talking about. Because as an individual I do not have inteligent units or networks to find the exact differents between stories and reality.
Here, people search and find a web site and show the others that this is the truth and making assumptions. That is where the weak points is. But better let them enjoy if theer is no real harm to anyone. These things will not be written in the history anyway. (But probably a part of UTHR reports, that is what their aim is).

War were to resume, Jaffna would be the target and the big fish LTTE is after.  If LTTE captures Jaffna, the talk is that it is going to declare UDI.

President needs to get his acts together, and offer a reasonable solution and prevent further violence.  As previous governments and the co-chairs expressed, an offer of a well defined federal solution would put LTTE on the defencive.  If the president is smart, he should get to gether with the mainstream moderate forces including UNP and offer a federal solution.  Extremists could be let go, if they oppose.  This way, government could be on the offensive diplomatically, rather than the current defensive position.  International community will welcome this approach and support the government.  The catch phrase is that " if the president is smart enough.................."

Oliver
I agree wt u, but LTTE want to get Mannar & Tringo not Jaffna.

hello krishanthy
why u need trinco or jaffna. u can have all the SL under united SL. our motherland is belonged to all of us.sinhala.tamil.muslim, burger even chinese who live in SL. so we should use our resources for benefit of all the people. not for any paticular ethnic group. u live in multicultural society now. dont u? u.k or u.s.a?

Like most state institutions, the SLA is caught up in its own myth making, though I wonder who they're actually kidding in the process. For instance in this article it says:

Quote:

The army says most of the enclave's residents support them, but in reality most analysts say Tiger support seems strong.

It doesnt take a rocket scientist to work this out (I, sitting on my rear end here in Sydney could have told them that), but for some unfathomable reason this is denied time and time again by our esteemed military leaders and Sinhalese politicians. Why do they keep feeding us this crap about "National Solidarity"? It's all PROPAGANDA!

Face it people, there is NO NATION, just two disparate races. The sooner the Sinhalese understand this fact, and address the issue along ethnic lines, the better it will be for all concerned. Tamils support their own, the Sinhalese are stupid if they think otherwise. My advice to the military is to abandon Jaffna and move to a more secure location in the event of war. The last thing we need now is a repeat of Elephant Pass.


_________________
[j2k5]

From Asian Tribune
Mahinda Liyanage was killed along with at least 10 other soldiers when the army truck in which they were travelling was hit by a land mine on December 27


Mahinda’s father said: "There is something wrong with the ceasefire agreed upon by the LTTE and the government three years ago. Under the ceasefire, we hoped there would be no danger for our sons in the army. At least in that sense we lived without fear and terror. But now the fear and uncertainty have returned to our lives

We did not want to send our sons into the military. It seems no one in power wants to end this war,” his father exclaimed. Another villager commented: “They said that he sacrificed his life for the unitary state without fear and bravely. But defending this unitary state means defending the capitalist system, doesn’t it?"